De Graafschap vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
HER
0 - 0
GRA
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 6
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
SCH
2 - 0
GRA
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
FEY
1 - 3
GRA
73%
17%
11%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
GRA
1 - 1
RJC
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
WIL
3 - 2
SPA
49%
23%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
TWE
2 - 0
WIL
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
WIL
1 - 2
NEC
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
WIL
1 - 3
SCH
32%
25%
44%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
HER
1 - 0
WIL
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |