De Graafschap vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
47.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 0
GRA
62%
21%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
GRA
1 - 5
SCH
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
RBC
1 - 0
GRA
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2003 |
GRA
2 - 3
UTR
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
GRA
3 - 2
ZWO
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
RJC
2 - 0
TWE
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2003 |
EXC
0 - 2
RJC
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
WIL
5 - 0
RJC
49%
24%
28%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
RJC
2 - 0
VIT
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
AJA
1 - 0
RJC
78%
15%
8%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |