De Graafschap vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
41.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 1
GRA
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
HER
2 - 0
GRA
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
GRA
2 - 3
GRO
25%
24%
52%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 1
UTR
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FEY
4 - 0
GRA
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 0
EXC
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
RJC
4 - 3
NAC
49%
25%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
UTR
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
VIT
0 - 0
NAC
42%
24%
34%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 2
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |