De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
GRA
1 - 2
PSV
13%
19%
68%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
GRA
2 - 2
JON
51%
22%
27%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
MVV
2 - 3
GRA
10%
19%
71%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
EIN
3 - 2
GRA
17%
22%
62%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
GRA
0 - 2
BVO
40%
24%
36%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Jong Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
JUT
0 - 1
FCO
55%
23%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
JUT
3 - 2
EXC
28%
24%
48%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
ALM
4 - 1
JUT
65%
21%
15%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
JUT
1 - 2
TEL
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
PSV
1 - 1
JUT
51%
23%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |