De Graafschap vs Jong Ajax analysis

De Graafschap Jong Ajax
80 ELO 66
6% Tilt 17.3%
646º General ELO ranking 1894º
20º Country ELO ranking 42º
ELO win probability
68.1%
De Graafschap
19%
Draw
12.8%
Jong Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
De Graafschap
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.8%
Win probability
Jong Ajax
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
De Graafschap
-5%
-16%
Jong Ajax

Points and table prediction

De Graafschap
Their league position
Jong Ajax
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
13º
36
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FC Volendam
82
82
100%
Excelsior
74
74
100%
Cambuur
71
71
100%
ADO Den Haag
70
70
100%
Dordrecht
68
68
100%
De Graafschap
65
65
100%
SC Telstar
61
61
100%
Emmen
56
56
100%
Den Bosch
55
55
100%
Jong AZ
10º
52
52
10º
100%
FC Eindhoven
11º
51
51
11º
100%
Roda JC
12º
49
49
12º
100%
Helmond Sport
13º
46
46
13º
100%
Vitesse
20º
5
44
14º
100%
VVV Venlo
14º
41
41
15º
100%
MVV Maastricht
15º
40
40
16º
100%
TOP Oss
16º
38
38
17º
100%
Jong Ajax
17º
36
36
18º
100%
Jong PSV
18º
30
30
19º
100%
Jong Utrecht
19º
23
23
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
De Graafschap
Jong Ajax
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

De Graafschap
Jong Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

De Graafschap
De Graafschap
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Apr. 2025
EIN
FC Eindhoven
1 - 0
De Graafschap
GRA
20%
23%
57%
80 71 9 0
06 Apr. 2025
GRA
De Graafschap
2 - 0
Roda JC
RJC
45%
25%
31%
80 78 2 0
28 Mar. 2025
BVO
Cambuur
3 - 2
De Graafschap
GRA
36%
25%
39%
80 78 2 0
22 Mar. 2025
GRA
De Graafschap
0 - 0
MVV Maastricht
MVV
64%
21%
15%
80 71 9 0
16 Mar. 2025
FCO
TOP Oss
0 - 2
De Graafschap
GRA
13%
20%
67%
80 61 19 0

Matches

Jong Ajax
Jong Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2025
JON
Jong Ajax
1 - 1
Vitesse
VIT
26%
24%
50%
67 76 9 0
04 Apr. 2025
FCD
Dordrecht
3 - 0
Jong Ajax
JON
63%
20%
16%
67 79 12 0
31 Mar. 2025
JON
Jong Ajax
0 - 2
FC Volendam
VOL
18%
22%
60%
67 80 13 0
16 Mar. 2025
BOS
Den Bosch
3 - 1
Jong Ajax
JON
40%
25%
35%
68 69 1 -1
11 Mar. 2025
JON
Jong Ajax
0 - 2
Emmen
FCE
30%
25%
45%
68 75 7 0