De Graafschap vs Jong Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
EIN
1 - 0
GRA
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 0
SPA
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 2
GRA
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 2
WIL
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
JON
2 - 1
GRA
28%
28%
44%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
JON
4 - 0
HEL
23%
25%
52%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
JON
0 - 2
EXC
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
VOL
1 - 0
JON
69%
18%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
JON
1 - 2
EIN
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
WIL
7 - 1
JON
67%
20%
14%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -2 |