De Graafschap vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
GRA
5 - 3
HHC
78%
15%
8%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
VOL
2 - 1
GRA
39%
24%
37%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
GRA
4 - 0
SPA
66%
19%
16%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
GRA
0 - 2
BVO
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2024 |
JON
2 - 0
GRA
21%
23%
56%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
HER
1 - 1
SPA
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
BOC
1 - 0
HER
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
HER
1 - 0
NEC
33%
24%
44%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
FEY
5 - 2
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
HER
2 - 2
FOR
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |