De Graafschap vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
GRA
2 - 1
TEL
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
ZWO
2 - 2
GRA
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
GRA
4 - 0
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2009 |
GRA
4 - 0
FCO
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
GAE
1 - 0
GRA
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 2
BVO
24%
24%
52%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 2
APE
31%
24%
45%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
GAE
2 - 0
FOR
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2009 |
0 - 0
FOR
48%
25%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
FOR
5 - 1
HFC
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |