De Graafschap vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11%
3-0
14%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
4.4%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2007 |
BOS
0 - 4
GRA
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2007 |
GRA
1 - 1
EIN
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2007 |
TEL
0 - 0
GRA
25%
24%
50%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2007 |
WIL
4 - 2
GRA
39%
24%
38%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2007 |
GRA
3 - 1
BVO
75%
17%
9%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2007 |
FOR
2 - 1
BVO
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2007 |
VOL
2 - 0
FOR
75%
18%
8%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2007 |
FOR
0 - 0
MVV
36%
27%
38%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2007 |
VVV
3 - 1
FOR
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2007 |
FOR
2 - 0
HFC
21%
24%
56%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | +2 |