De Graafschap vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
AZA
2 - 3
GRA
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
GRA
2 - 1
VIT
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1996 |
FOR
0 - 3
GRA
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
GRA
2 - 2
WIL
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
AJA
1 - 1
GRA
83%
12%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
NEC
1 - 1
FOR
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
GRO
2 - 0
FOR
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1996 |
FOR
1 - 1
PSV
13%
19%
68%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1996 |
FOR
0 - 3
GRA
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
RJC
0 - 1
FOR
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | +1 |