De Graafschap vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
43.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
UTR
5 - 0
GRA
67%
20%
14%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 4
PSV
8%
15%
77%
|
64 | 89 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
AZA
1 - 0
GRA
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
GRA
2 - 5
ZWO
38%
24%
39%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
GRA
4 - 1
EXC
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
ZWO
2 - 3
ADO
49%
24%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
ZWO
2 - 3
WIL
45%
25%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 0
ZWO
33%
25%
41%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
GRA
2 - 5
ZWO
38%
24%
39%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ZWO
1 - 1
HER
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |