De Graafschap vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
27.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
GRA
3 - 2
SCH
39%
24%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ADO
2 - 2
GRA
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
GRA
0 - 5
AJA
14%
19%
67%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
GRO
2 - 1
GRA
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
PSV
6 - 0
GRA
75%
17%
9%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
UTR
3 - 2
VVV
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
NAP
0 - 0
UTR
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
GRO
1 - 0
UTR
44%
27%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
TWE
4 - 0
UTR
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2010 |
UTR
4 - 0
DON
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |