De Graafschap vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
41.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
GRA
3 - 2
ZWO
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
GRA
1 - 1
WIL
33%
25%
41%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
GRA
1 - 1
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
ZWO
1 - 4
GRA
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
VIT
1 - 1
GRA
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2002 |
RJC
1 - 0
UTR
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
SCH
2 - 2
UTR
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
UTR
1 - 3
PSV
29%
24%
46%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
FEY
2 - 1
UTR
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
UTR
3 - 2
NEC
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |