De Graafschap vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
GRA
0 - 0
VIT
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
BVO
2 - 0
GRA
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
GRA
0 - 3
SPA
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
AJA
1 - 1
GRA
84%
11%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
GRA
2 - 1
NEC
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
UTR
2 - 3
NEC
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
UTR
0 - 3
TWE
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
SCH
1 - 0
UTR
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
UTR
1 - 1
FOR
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
UTR
2 - 2
AJA
20%
23%
57%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |