De Graafschap vs Dordrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
HEL
1 - 4
GRA
18%
23%
60%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
GRA
2 - 1
TEL
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
VVV
3 - 1
GRA
18%
23%
58%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
GRA
2 - 0
JON
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
EIN
1 - 0
GRA
20%
23%
57%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
FCD
4 - 1
VOL
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
JUT
1 - 0
FCD
8%
18%
74%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
FCD
3 - 0
MVV
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
FCO
2 - 0
FCD
14%
21%
64%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
FCD
4 - 0
BOS
65%
21%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |