De Graafschap vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 0
GRA
68%
18%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
GRA
5 - 0
FCD
78%
15%
8%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 2
GRA
32%
25%
43%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
JUT
2 - 2
GRA
17%
22%
61%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
GRA
0 - 0
ALM
55%
22%
23%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
EXC
4 - 2
NEC
34%
22%
44%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 3
JON
33%
23%
45%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
MVV
0 - 0
EXC
23%
25%
52%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
EXC
3 - 2
FCD
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
BVO
4 - 0
EXC
46%
24%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |