De Graafschap vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
GRA
3 - 3
JON
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
VVV
0 - 4
GRA
50%
24%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
GRA
3 - 0
TEL
67%
20%
14%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 2
FCD
48%
24%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
BOS
2 - 2
GRA
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 1
TEL
47%
25%
29%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
VOL
2 - 2
EXC
78%
14%
8%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
MVV
0 - 1
EXC
69%
18%
12%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 0
SPA
19%
23%
58%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
FCE
1 - 0
EXC
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |