De Graafschap vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 1
GRA
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 3
HER
21%
24%
56%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AJA
3 - 1
GRA
82%
13%
5%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
GRA
3 - 0
UTR
21%
27%
51%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 0
GRA
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 2
EXC
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 1
TWE
13%
19%
68%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
FEY
3 - 0
EXC
77%
16%
8%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
EXC
0 - 2
NEC
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
UTR
3 - 2
EXC
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |