De Graafschap vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
34.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2003 |
HER
2 - 2
GRA
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
GRA
3 - 1
FCO
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
TEL
2 - 0
GRA
48%
25%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
GRA
2 - 1
FCE
41%
25%
35%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2003 |
FCD
0 - 0
GRA
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2003 |
EXC
2 - 0
BVV
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2003 |
EXC
0 - 2
SPA
63%
20%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
BVO
0 - 2
EXC
28%
24%
48%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 2
HER
53%
22%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2003 |
FCO
1 - 2
EXC
30%
24%
46%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |