De Graafschap vs Jong AZ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
8.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
GRA
0 - 0
BOS
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 2
FCD
78%
16%
6%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
TEL
0 - 3
GRA
18%
22%
60%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ADO
0 - 0
GRA
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 0
ALM
59%
22%
18%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Jong AZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
ALK
1 - 3
EIN
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
ALK
0 - 2
NAC
17%
22%
62%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
VOL
2 - 1
ALK
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
JON
2 - 1
ALK
76%
16%
9%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2022 |
FCO
1 - 0
ALK
47%
25%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |