De Graafschap vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
76.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
EIN
0 - 4
GRA
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 0
RJC
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 0
GRA
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
GRA
3 - 0
DET
73%
18%
10%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
GRA
0 - 1
TEL
60%
23%
16%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 2
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
FCU
3 - 1
AJA
27%
24%
49%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
AJA
4 - 0
SPA
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
AJA
0 - 0
FCU
59%
20%
21%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
AJA
3 - 1
RKC
81%
12%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |