De Graafschap vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
70.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 0
VVV
57%
22%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
AZA
5 - 1
GRA
74%
18%
8%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
HER
2 - 0
GRA
63%
22%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 1
TWE
17%
23%
60%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 0
GRA
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
TWE
2 - 1
AJA
34%
23%
43%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
BIF
0 - 3
AJA
27%
24%
49%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
FCE
0 - 1
AJA
10%
17%
73%
|
89 | 57 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
AJA
3 - 1
TWE
50%
24%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
TWE
3 - 2
AJA
41%
25%
35%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |