De Graafschap vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
65.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
ZWO
1 - 4
GRA
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
VIT
1 - 1
GRA
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
GRA
3 - 2
NAC
25%
25%
50%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
GRO
3 - 1
GRA
56%
23%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
GRA
1 - 1
EXC
27%
24%
50%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
AJA
2 - 1
TWE
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2002 |
VCF
1 - 1
AJA
60%
23%
18%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
SCH
0 - 3
AJA
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
AJA
6 - 0
NEC
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2002 |
AJA
1 - 2
INT
42%
23%
36%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |