De Graafschap vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
55%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1997 |
GRO
2 - 4
GRA
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
GRA
0 - 4
FEY
21%
24%
55%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
NAC
2 - 1
GRA
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
UTR
2 - 0
GRA
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1996 |
GRA
2 - 0
GRO
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
AJA
0 - 2
PSV
50%
23%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
AZA
1 - 1
AJA
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1996 |
GCZ
0 - 1
AJA
44%
25%
31%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
AJA
1 - 1
GRO
80%
13%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
FEY
2 - 2
AJA
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |