De Graafschap vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
70%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
GRA
2 - 2
MVV
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1982 |
GRA
1 - 2
NEC
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1982 |
FEY
1 - 0
GRA
88%
9%
4%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
TWE
4 - 0
GRA
78%
14%
7%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
GRA
2 - 0
ZWO
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
AJA
5 - 1
TWE
69%
17%
14%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1982 |
ZWO
1 - 3
AJA
13%
21%
66%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
AJA
4 - 1
WIL
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
FEY
2 - 2
AJA
51%
22%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
NEC
1 - 3
AJA
13%
20%
67%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |