De Graafschap vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
59.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
EIN
1 - 1
GRA
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
GRA
5 - 1
MVV
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
NEC
0 - 0
GRA
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
GRA
0 - 1
FEY
14%
18%
68%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
AMS
1 - 0
GRA
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
AJA
0 - 0
ADO
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
EXC
0 - 2
AJA
12%
23%
66%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
AJA
2 - 0
SPA
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
AJA
2 - 1
TEL
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
AJA
2 - 0
EIN
92%
5%
3%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |