De Graafschap vs AGOVV Apeldoorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
MVV
2 - 2
GRA
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
GRA
4 - 1
FCE
74%
16%
10%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
GRA
0 - 2
VOL
51%
23%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 1
GRA
66%
20%
15%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2013 |
GRA
5 - 2
GAE
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
AGOVV Apeldoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
APE
6 - 1
FCE
54%
21%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
SPA
3 - 2
APE
78%
14%
8%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
APE
2 - 3
BOS
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
SPA
4 - 1
APE
80%
14%
7%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
WIL
5 - 0
APE
79%
14%
8%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |