Gozzano vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gozzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
GOZ
0 - 3
PIA
43%
26%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PIS
2 - 2
GOZ
46%
26%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
GOZ
3 - 4
PIA
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CUN
1 - 1
GOZ
30%
27%
43%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
GOZ
1 - 3
ACD
18%
28%
54%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ASL
1 - 1
CUN
69%
20%
11%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
USA
0 - 0
ASL
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
ASL
2 - 2
CAR
31%
27%
42%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PIS
2 - 4
ASL
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ASL
0 - 1
ARZ
36%
29%
36%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |