Gozzano vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+86%
+111%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gozzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BOR
0 - 0
GOZ
66%
20%
15%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
GOZ
4 - 0
NOV
53%
24%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
LEC
1 - 1
GOZ
67%
20%
14%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
GOZ
2 - 0
MAP
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
LEG
1 - 2
GOZ
48%
26%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
LAV
3 - 2
ASD
46%
25%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 1
LAV
42%
25%
34%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
LAV
3 - 2
VOG
40%
25%
35%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 2
LAV
65%
22%
14%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
LAV
4 - 2
BOR
75%
17%
8%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |