Gozzano vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gozzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
BOR
2 - 3
GOZ
20%
26%
54%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ARC
0 - 3
GOZ
13%
24%
63%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
GOZ
2 - 1
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
GOZ
3 - 0
SES
70%
19%
10%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
DER
0 - 1
GOZ
8%
21%
71%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
PAV
4 - 2
ASD
67%
20%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
ASD
2 - 2
PAV
15%
22%
62%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
PAV
0 - 2
INV
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
PAV
2 - 2
CAS
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 0
PAV
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |