Goytre United vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
6.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goytre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
GOY
0 - 1
BRY
43%
23%
34%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
CWM
0 - 2
GOY
35%
22%
43%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
GOY
4 - 3
MON
25%
22%
53%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +3 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
HAV
0 - 1
GOY
75%
15%
10%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
MON
3 - 0
GOY
69%
17%
15%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 3
AFC
22%
23%
55%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
ABE
2 - 1
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BRY
2 - 0
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
MON
17%
20%
63%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
TON
3 - 0
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |