Goytre United vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.2%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
5.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goytre United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 2
GOY
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
GOY
3 - 2
CRO
75%
15%
10%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 3
GOY
17%
23%
60%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
GOY
0 - 0
PON
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2007 |
TON
1 - 1
GOY
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAR
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 2
CAR
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 1
ABE
30%
26%
45%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
PON
2 - 1
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2007 |
PON
3 - 0
CAR
80%
14%
7%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |