Goytre AFC vs Risca United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goytre AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 4
GOY
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2016 |
GOY
4 - 1
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
ABE
1 - 2
GOY
21%
21%
59%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
GOY
3 - 0
TON
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CAE
2 - 2
GOY
58%
21%
21%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Risca United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
GOY
0 - 1
RIS
48%
22%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
RIS
4 - 0
GAR
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
TON
1 - 2
RIS
41%
23%
36%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
RIS
5 - 0
ABE
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
GOY
1 - 1
RIS
59%
19%
21%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |