Goytre AFC vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goytre AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
TON
2 - 1
GOY
20%
24%
57%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BRI
2 - 2
GOY
9%
15%
75%
|
48 | 11 | 37 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
GOY
1 - 1
CAE
55%
22%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TAF
1 - 5
GOY
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
GOY
3 - 4
CAM
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAR
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ABE
0 - 5
BAR
22%
21%
56%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
5 - 2
CAL
79%
13%
7%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CWM
2 - 1
BAR
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 0
LID
70%
17%
13%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |