Goytre AFC vs Aberbargoed Buds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goytre AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
HAV
3 - 0
GOY
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
GOY
2 - 3
CAE
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
GOY
1 - 1
CWM
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
WES
1 - 2
GOY
29%
23%
49%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
GOY
3 - 1
GOY
53%
22%
25%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Aberbargoed Buds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ABE
3 - 2
GOY
17%
18%
65%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 2
ABE
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | +2 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
CAM
2 - 0
ABE
83%
12%
6%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2013 |
ABE
0 - 2
MON
15%
19%
66%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 0
ABE
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |