Goya vs Lucero-Linces analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
50%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+86%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CDG
3 - 3
NVL
51%
21%
29%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ARY
3 - 1
CDG
76%
14%
10%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CDG
2 - 4
CDE
13%
17%
71%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ROZ
6 - 2
CDG
29%
21%
51%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CDG
1 - 3
ALU
79%
13%
9%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Lucero-Linces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
LUL
3 - 2
ATN
56%
20%
25%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
NVL
2 - 3
LUL
33%
23%
44%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
LUL
4 - 2
CDM
80%
12%
8%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ARY
3 - 0
LUL
47%
22%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
LUL
4 - 1
CDM
45%
22%
33%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |