Gouvy vs Messancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
40%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gouvy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 1
GOU
68%
18%
15%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
GOU
1 - 1
ROS
44%
23%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MEI
1 - 3
GOU
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
LAR
3 - 1
GOU
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
GOU
3 - 2
HAL
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Messancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
MES
1 - 0
EBE
17%
20%
63%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
LON
6 - 1
MES
79%
14%
7%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MES
0 - 5
BOM
24%
21%
55%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ROS
0 - 2
MES
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MEI
1 - 2
MES
69%
18%
14%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |