Gouveia vs Uniao Tomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
73%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
7º
14º
13º
17
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gouveia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
3 - 1
GOU
9%
16%
75%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GOU
1 - 1
MOR
13%
18%
69%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
USA
2 - 2
GOU
87%
10%
3%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
GOU
1 - 4
TON
7%
14%
80%
|
23 | 62 | 39 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
GOU
1 - 2
FAV
38%
23%
39%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
UFT
1 - 0
VIT
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
COI
2 - 1
UFT
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
UFT
1 - 0
ALE
62%
19%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
POM
1 - 1
UFT
20%
20%
61%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
UFT
2 - 3
ADP
84%
11%
6%
|
46 | 12 | 34 | 0 |