Gouveia vs Rabo Peixe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
58.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
7º
14º
13º
30
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gouveia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
GOU
0 - 1
SER
22%
23%
55%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 1
GOU
61%
22%
18%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LUS
0 - 0
GOU
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
GOU
1 - 5
COI
14%
21%
65%
|
28 | 67 | 39 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
GDF
2 - 0
GOU
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Rabo Peixe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
USA
2 - 1
RAB
50%
24%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
RAB
1 - 1
MAR
54%
26%
21%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
RAB
0 - 0
BEN
46%
27%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
RAB
0 - 2
CAS
8%
18%
75%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
1 - 1
RAB
15%
21%
64%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -1 |