Gouveia vs Moimenta da Beira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
30.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gouveia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
EST
0 - 1
GOU
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GOU
0 - 2
ANA
17%
21%
62%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
RDA
3 - 0
GOU
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
GOU
0 - 3
MOR
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -3 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CES
4 - 0
GOU
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Moimenta da Beira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MOI
1 - 1
GON
20%
22%
58%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MOI
1 - 2
CES
23%
22%
55%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
EST
2 - 1
MOI
64%
19%
17%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MOI
0 - 1
ANA
20%
21%
58%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
RDA
3 - 0
MOI
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |