Gouveia vs Camacha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
42.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gouveia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 3
GOU
71%
19%
11%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
GOU
0 - 2
MAR
39%
24%
37%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
GAF
5 - 0
GOU
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
GOU
2 - 3
ANA
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
GOU
2 - 2
EST
34%
25%
40%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Camacha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 2
CAM
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAM
2 - 1
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAM
43%
25%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 1
GAF
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 1
ANA
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |