Gouveia vs Camacha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gouveia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
GOU
3 - 1
MAR
27%
25%
49%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
GOU
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
GOU
1 - 1
EST
34%
24%
42%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ANA
0 - 1
GOU
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
GOU
3 - 0
SAO
33%
23%
44%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
Camacha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 1
SAO
57%
21%
21%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
CAM
62%
22%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CAM
1 - 1
CES
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
CAM
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 1
LUS
27%
26%
47%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |