Gouveia U19 vs SC Covilha U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
22.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
5º
2º
1
4º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
23 | 29 |
2º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 25 |
3º
|
81% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 24 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 24 |
5º
|
72.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 19 |
6º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
1 | 7 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 5 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gouveia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ASN
1 - 0
GOU
55%
20%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
GOU
2 - 0
CON
52%
21%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GOU
1 - 3
BEI
22%
23%
54%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ACV
0 - 2
GOU
65%
18%
18%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GOU
2 - 3
UDO
64%
18%
18%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SC Covilha U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
SPC
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ASN
0 - 0
SPC
63%
19%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SPC
3 - 1
MAR
44%
22%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CON
0 - 1
SPC
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 6
SPC
7%
13%
80%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |