Gouveia U19 vs Condeixa U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
27.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
5º
2º
13
6º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
23 | 29 |
2º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 25 |
3º
|
81% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 24 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 24 |
5º
|
72.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 19 |
6º
|
99.5% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 7 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 5 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gouveia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GOU
1 - 3
BEI
22%
23%
54%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ACV
0 - 2
GOU
65%
18%
18%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GOU
2 - 3
UDO
64%
18%
18%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
POM
2 - 2
GOU
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
GOU
6 - 1
SFC
91%
6%
2%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Condeixa U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 3
CON
42%
23%
35%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CON
5 - 0
SFC
90%
8%
3%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CON
0 - 1
SPC
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BEI
1 - 0
CON
81%
11%
7%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CON
0 - 2
ACV
36%
22%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |