El Gouna FC vs AL Fayoum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.9%
4.5%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
6º
1º
23
8º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
79% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
79% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Gouna FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
ALU
0 - 0
GOU
20%
27%
53%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
ASY
1 - 3
GOU
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
GOU
2 - 1
CCF
34%
29%
37%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
SMO
2 - 2
GOU
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
GOU
0 - 0
GHA
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AL Fayoum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ALF
1 - 1
SMQ
39%
27%
34%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ASY
2 - 1
ALF
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ALF
0 - 0
BSF
41%
27%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
MST
0 - 2
ALF
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
ALF
1 - 3
ASW
12%
23%
66%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | 0 |