Goulburn Valley Suns vs Eltham Redbacks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
50.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goulburn Valley Suns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
GOU
6 - 1
NFS
34%
21%
45%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
GOU
0 - 1
NCS
40%
22%
38%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
GOU
0 - 4
BEN
13%
18%
69%
|
13 | 43 | 30 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2015 |
HEU
5 - 1
GOU
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
GOU
1 - 4
SOU
10%
17%
73%
|
14 | 43 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Eltham Redbacks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
MAL
1 - 3
ERF
23%
19%
58%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CHI
3 - 4
ERF
14%
17%
69%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
POR
3 - 1
ERF
71%
17%
13%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BPS
2 - 6
ERF
25%
21%
54%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
NPS
0 - 3
ERF
21%
20%
59%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |