Goulburn Valley Suns vs Dandenong Thunder SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
72%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goulburn Valley Suns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
GOU
0 - 2
PAS
15%
20%
64%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
NOR
3 - 0
GOU
89%
8%
3%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
GOU
1 - 1
BEN
10%
17%
73%
|
10 | 38 | 28 | +3 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
HUM
4 - 1
GOU
85%
10%
4%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
WEC
1 - 2
GOU
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Dandenong Thunder SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
SOU
5 - 0
DAN
70%
18%
13%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
DAN
3 - 1
BRD
73%
17%
11%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
DAN
0 - 3
WEC
79%
14%
8%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 3
DAN
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
OAK
6 - 0
DAN
51%
23%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |