Gornyak vs Rubin Kazan 2 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gornyak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2008 |
LAD
1 - 1
GUC
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
UNS
0 - 9
GUC
17%
22%
61%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2008 |
GUC
1 - 0
DIN
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2008 |
GUC
3 - 0
ENE
63%
21%
17%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2008 |
FCC
0 - 1
GUC
51%
25%
25%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rubin Kazan 2
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
RUB
4 - 1
AKT
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2008 |
RUB
2 - 0
ALA
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2008 |
SGI
1 - 1
RUB
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2008 |
NEF
2 - 1
RUB
41%
27%
33%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2008 |
RUB
3 - 1
NIZ
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +2 |