Gornyak vs Neftekhimik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gornyak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
NIZ
1 - 0
GUC
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2008 |
RUB
0 - 0
GUC
17%
22%
61%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Neftekhimik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
NEF
2 - 1
ALA
48%
25%
27%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2008 |
NEF
2 - 0
AKT
35%
25%
41%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +3 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
NEF
1 - 3
VOL
25%
26%
50%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -4 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
SOK
1 - 0
NEF
58%
24%
18%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
NEF
1 - 4
UNS
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |