ND Gorica vs Triglav Kranj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
GOR
0 - 2
ALU
59%
21%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
FCK
4 - 0
GOR
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
ALU
1 - 2
GOR
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GOR
4 - 1
ALU
55%
23%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CEL
0 - 0
GOR
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Triglav Kranj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
FCK
0 - 2
TRI
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
TRI
0 - 1
FCK
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
DOM
2 - 1
TRI
66%
22%
12%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 0
MAR
23%
26%
51%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
TRI
4 - 0
FCK
26%
29%
46%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +2 |